Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000564 0.000646 0.000732 0.000831 0.000939 0.001056 0.001189
2025-07-20 0.000444 0.000557 0.000687 0.000844 0.001029 0.001237 0.001490
2025-07-27 0.000370 0.000496 0.000646 0.000837 0.001070 0.001343 0.001686
2025-08-03 0.000311 0.000442 0.000606 0.000822 0.001096 0.001426 0.001852
2025-08-10 0.000275 0.000412 0.000589 0.000831 0.001146 0.001537 0.002051
2025-08-17 0.000243 0.000382 0.000569 0.000832 0.001184 0.001631 0.002230
2025-08-24 0.000206 0.000342 0.000531 0.000805 0.001182 0.001670 0.002338
2025-08-31 0.000177 0.000308 0.000498 0.000781 0.001179 0.001706 0.002442
2025-09-07 0.000157 0.000288 0.000482 0.000778 0.001205 0.001780 0.002595
2025-09-14 0.000142 0.000271 0.000468 0.000778 0.001234 0.001858 0.002754
2025-09-21 0.000126 0.000252 0.000451 0.000770 0.001249 0.001916 0.002887
2025-09-28 0.000111 0.000232 0.000430 0.000756 0.001254 0.001959 0.003001
2025-10-05 0.000104 0.000227 0.000432 0.000777 0.001313 0.002081 0.003227
2025-10-12 0.000097 0.000219 0.000430 0.000791 0.001360 0.002186 0.003433
2025-10-19 0.000086 0.000205 0.000415 0.000784 0.001375 0.002246 0.003575
2025-10-26 0.000076 0.000190 0.000397 0.000770 0.001378 0.002287 0.003690
2025-11-02 0.000070 0.000183 0.000393 0.000778 0.001417 0.002382 0.003885
2025-11-09 0.000064 0.000174 0.000385 0.000780 0.001443 0.002458 0.004054
2025-11-16 0.000055 0.000158 0.000363 0.000754 0.001425 0.002465 0.004120
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000144 0.000342 0.000730 0.001409 0.002474 0.004190
2025-11-30 0.000043 0.000136 0.000334 0.000728 0.001427 0.002537 0.004340
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000130 0.000327 0.000728 0.001450 0.002607 0.004503
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000122 0.000317 0.000720 0.001457 0.002654 0.004630